Topic

systems thinking

2 posts tagged systems thinking from Confronting Unknowns.

complexity unintended consequences systems thinking

The Cobra Effect: When Your Solution Becomes the Problem

The Cobra Effect explains how well-intentioned interventions backfire in complex systems, and how to spot the trap before you spring it.

M. Linden

· May 25, 2026 · 4 min read

The Difference Between Complicated and Complex (And Why It Matters)

A jet engine is complicated. A rainforest is complex. The distinction is not semantic. Confusing the two leads to catastrophically wrong interventions.

M. Linden

· February 22, 2025 · 3 min read

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decision-making risk-analysis cognitive-bias uncertainty complexity cognitive biases probability expertise sensemaking antifragility black-swan Cynefin

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