Navigating Decisions When the Map Runs Out
Herbert Simon's satisficing principle explains why good enough beats perfect in complex, uncertain environments.
How predictive processing breaks down when facing genuinely new situations and what this means for decision-making.
Gary Klein's research on naturalistic decision-making upended the classical model of rational choice. Experts don't weigh options. They recognize patterns and act.
A jet engine is complicated. A rainforest is complex. The distinction is not semantic. Confusing the two leads to catastrophically wrong interventions.