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Confronting Unknowns

Navigating Decisions When the Map Runs Out

Recent Writing

decision-makingcognitive biasrisk analysis

The Sunk Cost Fallacy's Dangerous Cousin: Escalation of Commitment in High-Stakes Decisions

Escalation of commitment goes beyond sunk cost bias. Learn how organizations trap themselves in failing courses of action and how to break the cycle.

· 4 min read

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Confronting Unknowns explores decision-making under uncertainty, complexity science, risk analysis. New writing published regularly.